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Gas & Power Map

How each market prices gas and power, the hubs and venues that set those prices, and the basis between them. Europe and the Americas are mapped; Asia and Australia are in progress.

Europe prices gas off the Dutch TTF and the UK NBP, and power zone by zone. The spreads between those points — not any single price — drive cargo economics, plant dispatch and hedge design.

Data reviewed 28 Jul 2026 · Market structure and 2025 full-year data; price series to June 2026.

50%
Renewables share of EU electricity generation in 2025 — solar set records and overtook coal for the first time
ACER 2025
−162 TWh
Fall in EU reliance on Russian gas during 2025, largely replaced by LNG
ACER 2025
50 / 40 / 10
2025 EU gas supply mix — % pipeline, LNG (mostly US) and domestic
ACER 2025
62%
EU gas storage at end-2025, ten points below the previous year after heavy winter withdrawals
ACER 2025
~5×
Daily wholesale power price swings versus 2020 — the flexibility gap, in one number
ACER 2025
+70 TWh/mo
Growth in global LNG capacity, with supply by 2030 expected to reach twice current EU imports
ACER 2025

TTF gas — period averages €/MWh

41
2023 avg
ACER
34
2024 avg
Market
36
2025 avg
Market
40
Q1 2026
Market
45
Jun 2026
Market

Published period averages, not a continuous series. The path runs from post-crisis normalisation through 2024–25 into a tighter 2026, as colder weather, faster storage withdrawals and Middle East supply disruption re-tightened the balance. For scale, TTF hit an all-time record near €342/MWh in August 2022 — roughly 15× the pre-crisis norm of about €20.

Country mapping

Country marks below are indicative levels used for illustration (book date 14 Jul 2026), not live prices. Live benchmarks are on the Tools page.

Netherlands Europe's gas pricing anchor

Gas
TTF
ICE ENDEX / EEX
Mark €32/MWh · daily vol 4.0%
Power
Dutch baseload
EPEX / ICE ENDEX
Mark €88/MWh · daily vol 3.6%

The TTF is the continent's benchmark — a virtual hub deep enough that European and Asian LNG cargoes are priced against it. Dutch power is tightly coupled to German power through interconnection.

United Kingdom Separate gas hub, coupled power

Gas
NBP
ICE
Mark €30/MWh · daily vol 4.2%
Power
UK baseload
ICE / EPEX
Mark €88/MWh · daily vol 3.7%

The NBP trades at a basis to TTF that widens with LNG arrivals and interconnector flows. Post-Brexit the GB power market sits outside EU day-ahead coupling, so IFA/BritNed flows set the UK–NL spread.

Germany Largest power market

Gas
THE (traded off TTF)
EEX
Mark €33/MWh · daily vol 4.0%
Power
German baseload
EEX / EPEX
Mark €85/MWh · daily vol 3.5%

Europe's biggest and most liquid power curve, and the reference for Central-European hedging. High wind and solar share makes it the market where shape and negative-price risk bite hardest.

France Nuclear-led, weather-exposed

Gas
PEG (traded off TTF)
EEX
Mark €33/MWh · daily vol 4.1%
Power
French baseload
EPEX
Mark €70/MWh · daily vol 3.8%

A large nuclear fleet usually keeps French power below German, so the German–French spread is a core Continental position — but it inverts on nuclear availability and cold snaps.

EUA carbon — EU ETS allowance — €70/t indicative, 2.5% daily volFeeds every thermal plant's clean spark and dark spread.
API2 coal — ARA delivered coal — €110/t indicative, 2.0% daily volSets the coal-vs-gas switching economics in the merit order.

Basis & location spreads

SpreadTypeLevelDaily volWhy it moves
TTF – NBPGas location€2/MWh3.0%Widens with LNG arrivals and interconnector direction.
German – French powerPower location€15/MWh4.5%Driven by French nuclear availability; the largest basis exposure here.
German – Dutch powerPower location−€3/MWh4.0%Tight coupling — small spread, but sizeable position.
UK – NL powerInterconnector€5/MWh5.0%Set by IFA / BritNed flows and GB scarcity pricing.

Correlation — what not to assume

TTF · NBP
0.85
German power · Dutch power
0.85
German power · French power
0.75
TTF · German power
0.6
TTF · EUA
0.25

Indicative daily-return correlations. The pairs that look "safe" to cross-hedge are exactly the ones to check — TTF/NBP at 0.85 still leaves material basis risk on a large book.

Sources

North America prices gas off a single physical benchmark — Henry Hub — and then everything interesting happens in the basis. Power trades nodally in six of the seven US ISOs, so there is no single "US power price" either. In both markets the tradable object is a differential, not a level.

Data reviewed 30 Jul 2026 · Market structure and H1 2026 outturn; auction and policy positions verified to 30 July 2026.

$325
PJM capacity cleared at the price cap for the third consecutive auction (2028/29 BRA, $/MW-day) — and still fell 6,831 MW short of the reliability requirement
PJM
198 GW
Large load applied to interconnect in ERCOT in Q1 2026 alone; more than 70% of the queue is data centres
ERCOT / Latitude Media
2,600 GW
Generation and storage sitting in US interconnection queues in early 2026, with waits of five years and more
Ascend Analytics
>$10/MMBtu
Peak spread between Waha and Henry Hub in H1 2026 — the same molecule, priced on whether it could physically move east
NGI / Reuters
18.3 Bcf/d
US peak LNG export capacity, on track past 19 Bcf/d during 2026 as Golden Pass and Corpus Christi Stage 3 ramp
EIA

RGGI allowance auction clearing price $/short ton

22.25
Auction 69 · Sep 25
RGGI
24.99
Auction 71 · Mar 26
RGGI
35.0
Auction 72 · Jun 26
RGGI

The most striking price move in North American environmental markets in the last year. Auction 71 in March 2026 exhausted the entire 2026 Cost Containment Reserve — 7.85 million allowances released against a $18.22 trigger — and the market still cleared $35.00 three months later, a 57% rise in nine months. The Third Program Review tightens the cap through 2037 from 2027 and fixes the CCR at roughly 11.7 million allowances per tier. Note the unit: RGGI allowances are metric tonnes, while EPA reports emitted mass in short tons.

Country mapping

Gas marks are H1 2026 outturn levels, sourced and dated below, shown for scale rather than as live prices. Power marks are deliberately absent: a US power price is specific to a node, hub or zone, and publishing a single number for an ISO would repeat exactly the error this mapping exists to prevent. Hub-level marks arrive with the market packs, each carrying its own verification code.

US Gulf Coast The global gas benchmark

Gas
Henry Hub
NYMEX / ICE
Mark $2.7/MMBtu
Power
MISO South / SERC
Bilateral

Henry Hub is a physical delivery point in Louisiana, not a virtual hub like TTF, and that difference is the whole story: it sits inside the pipeline network that now feeds the largest LNG export complex in the world. Export pull increasingly sets the marginal call on US gas, which is why a European or Asian cargo decision now transmits back to a Louisiana wellhead within the same trading day.

Permian Basin Where basis goes negative

Gas
Waha
Bilateral / ICE basis
Mark $-2.19/MMBtu
Power

Waha averaged minus $2.19/MMBtu across H1 2026 and hit a record minus $7.95 at the end of April, staying negative for 25 consecutive days. Permian gas is associated production — it comes up whether or not anyone wants it — so when takeaway capacity binds, producers pay to have it removed. The GCX expansion and the start of Hugh Brinson pushed Waha back above zero in June 2026 for the first sustained stretch in months. This is the cleanest teaching case in the programme for why basis, not benchmark, is the traded object.

PJM The reference nodal market

Gas
Tetco M3 / TCO
ICE basis
Power
Western Hub
ICE / Nodal Exchange

Thirteen states, 67 million people, and the design every other US market is described against. Capacity is procured forward through RPM, which has now cleared at its cap three auctions running — the 2028/29 auction was collared at $325/MW-day by agreement between FERC and the governors of all thirteen states, against an uncapped estimate of $554.72 that would have taken the bill from $16.4bn to nearly $30bn. Note the trap: Western Hub is what trades, while PJM-RTO is a load-weighted average that is quoted constantly and traded almost never.

Texas Energy-only, at scale

Gas
Katy / Houston Ship Channel
ICE basis
Power
ERCOT North Hub
ICE / Nodal Exchange

ERCOT has no capacity market. Scarcity is priced instead through the Operating Reserve Demand Curve, under a system-wide offer cap of $5,000/MWh — lowered from $9,000 with effect from January 2022 — with a low cap set daily at the greater of $2,000/MWh or fifty times the gas index. The design freedom comes from a jurisdictional fact: ERCOT is intrastate and therefore outside FERC's wholesale jurisdiction, answering to the PUCT instead. It is also where the load-growth story is most extreme.

California Nodal plus a carbon price

Gas
SoCal Border / PG&E Citygate
ICE basis
Power
SP15 / NP15
ICE / Nodal Exchange

The only US ISO with an economy-wide carbon price layered on top of energy. Resource adequacy is procured bilaterally under a CPUC mandate rather than cleared in an auction, which makes it look unlike PJM or ISO-NE despite sharing the nodal design. A caution for anyone reading federal data: EIA's generation series are utility-scale only, so California's behind-the-meter solar — reported separately under EIA-861 — is simply absent unless you add it explicitly.

Northeast US Winter is the whole risk

Gas
Algonquin Citygate / Transco Z6 NY
ICE basis
Power
Mass Hub / NYISO Zone J
ICE / Nodal Exchange

New England and New York sit at the end of the pipeline and compete with heating load for the same molecules, so winter basis blows out in a way that has no European equivalent. Both operate under RGGI. ISO-NE procures capacity through a forward auction; NYISO runs ICAP spot and strip auctions with a separate in-city requirement for Zone J that reflects transmission constraints into New York City.

Canada Supply, egress and two very different power markets

Gas
AECO / NIT
NGX / ICE
Power
Alberta Pool Price · Ontario HOEP
AESO · IESO

Alberta is the cleanest teaching case for scarcity pricing anywhere in the programme: one energy-only pool price for the entire province, with no nodes and therefore nothing locational to trade. Ontario is the opposite — nuclear-heavy, centrally dispatched, mid-transition to a renewed market design. AECO gas carries both egress risk and an FX leg, which is why the Canada packs treat currency as an explicit risk factor rather than a silent conversion.

Latin America Hydrology as the price driver

Gas
Mexico — Waha-linked imports
Bilateral
Power
Mexico PML · Brazil PLD by submarket
CENACE · CCEE

Brazil is not a bid-based market at all. ONS dispatches centrally on declared costs and a hydrological optimisation, and CCEE settles at PLD by submarket, so reservoir levels do the job that fuel prices do everywhere else — the closest analogue in this mapping is the Nordics. Mexico runs nodal PML pricing but with policy, not physics, as the dominant variable.

The 45Y/48E cliff has just passed — Wind and solar projects that began construction on or before 4 July 2026 keep the full credit on the original phase-out; those starting after 5 July 2026 must be placed in service by 31 December 2027 to claim anything at all.Storage and other qualifying technologies are untouched until 2034. Read as a negative carbon price, this is the largest single policy variable in the US build-out — and the date is three weeks behind us.
A three-way carbon link, signed — Washington, California and Québec signed a linkage agreement on 25 June 2026, with a linked market expected to operate from 2027. California's own programme is being reauthorised under AB 1207, with CARB rulemaking opened in January 2026 and allowance budgets changing from 2027.The 2026 auction reserve price is $27.94. A linked WCI would become the second-largest compliance carbon market in the world.
RGGI tightens through 2037 — The ten participating states have agreed to strengthen the regional cap from 2027 through 2037, with fixed CCR tiers of roughly 11.7 million allowances each.The 2026 CCR was fully exhausted at auction 71 and the market still cleared $35.00 in June.
The export complex keeps ramping — Golden Pass shipped its first cargo in April 2026 as the ninth US LNG export terminal; Corpus Christi Stage 3 adds trains 5–7 and Plaquemines won DOE approval in March 2026 for a further 0.5 Bcf/d.Capacity goes from roughly 17 Bcf/d at the end of 2025 to above 19 Bcf/d during 2026 — the single largest structural pull on Henry Hub.

Basis & location spreads

SpreadTypeLevelDaily volWhy it moves
Waha – Henry HubPhysical location, gas−$2.19 avg H1 2026%Takeaway-constrained associated gas. Record low −$7.95/MMBtu in late April 2026, negative for 25 straight days, back above zero from June as GCX expansion and Hugh Brinson came into service. The remaining basis pairs — AECO, Algonquin Citygate, Transco Z6 NY, SoCal Border — are published under licence and are not sourced here; they arrive with the gas market packs as manual, dated entries.

Sources

JKM-linked LNG into Japan, Korea, China and India, alongside power markets that range from fully liberalised to state-set tariffs. Mapping in progress.

Mapping in progress

  • Japan & Korea — JKM cargo pricing, JEPX power
  • China — LNG term vs spot, provincial power reform
  • India — imported LNG parity, IEX day-ahead power
  • Singapore — LNG trading hub, USEP power pool

A major LNG exporter with an unusually volatile domestic power market — the NEM's five-minute settlement and extreme price caps make it a risk market of its own. Mapping in progress.

Mapping in progress

  • NEM regions — QLD, NSW, VIC, SA, TAS spot and cap contracts
  • East-coast gas — Wallumbilla hub, domestic reservation
  • LNG exports — Gladstone trains and netback pricing
  • WA — separate WEM market and domestic gas policy